What does the displayed price measure?
Trend Details shows a value per share for the selected view and a performance chart over a stated window. That readout brings the basket's market prices and weights into one measurement. It is not the probability of one event happening: the basket contains multiple outcomes with their own conditions.
Always read the unit, the selected view and the dates. A percentage change compares the value at the end of the selected window with its starting value. Changing from 7 days to 30 days changes the comparison. When a window starts at zero, a normal percentage return cannot be calculated.
What changes during a rebalance?
A basket rebalances when markets are added, removed or reweighted. New questions may become relevant to the theme, existing ones may no longer belong, and markets can resolve. A published composition version records the resulting members and weights; the version history lets you inspect what changed.
A published basket update and completed trading in your position are separate events. A position follows the current published composition through trading, subject to market availability and execution conditions. An update does not mean every target holding has already been reached. Read the position's own status and holdings for that answer.
Price history and your position
The trend's performance history is chain-linked across composition versions so the measurement stays continuous when the basket changes. Selecting an earlier version is a way to inspect that historical composition, not an offer to purchase it.
Your position has its own funding, actual fills, holdings, cash and fees. Its result can differ from the trend chart because those facts belong to your investment, not the reference history. The displayed value per share is not a guaranteed execution price or an estimate of what an immediate Exit will deliver.
Read a live example
Inspect the current published baskets. These examples update with the trends available on Measurement Finance.
-
US Crypto Regulatory Direction
Tracks the direction of US federal crypto regulation — legislation, enforcement, federal adoption, and tax treatment — as the policy landscape evolves.
-
US Fed Policy Stance
Tracks the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance — the market-priced balance between easing and tightening — across current and future FOMC rate decisions.
-
AC Milan Competitive Strength
Tracks AC Milan's competitive strength: Serie A results, league standing, European trophies, and individual honours, across current and future seasons.