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US Fed Policy Stance
Tracks the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance — the market-priced balance between easing and tightening — across current and future FOMC rate decisions.
15 markets curated from
Rebalanced 4d ago
Rebalanced 4d ago$0.28
▼ 4.2% return
per share · backtest from 2025-10-24
Theme Direction
Easing View Basket Performance History
Value per Share $0.28
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Performance is chain-linked across 3 basket versions to preserve a continuous price history.
Key Events
How a Basket Is Managed
- Curated
- Qualified Polymarket events are included to reflect the direction of the trend.
- Weighted
- Curated events get weights based on liquidity, correlation and factor representation.
- Monitored
- Basket members and other relevant markets are monitored continuously for needed adjustments.
- Rebalanced
- The basket automatically adds, removes, or reweights events over time to best track the topic.
Basket Detail
As of 2026-10-27Factors
Rate Path
Direction and size of the Fed's next rate moves, from deeper cuts to hikes.
15 markets
100.0%Weight
No
19.0%Weight
Yes
6.4%Weight
Yes
3.2%Weight
No
3.2%Weight
No
6.4%Weight
Yes
4.6%Weight
No
4.6%Weight
Yes
9.2%Weight
Yes
12.3%Weight
No
3.1%Weight
No
4.1%Weight
Yes
4.1%Weight
Yes
3.1%Weight
Rate Path
Yes
7.1%Weight
Change History
Every change to this basket is dated. Past compositions are read-only — they stay readable and are never buyable.
- 1 market added · 7 markets removed · weights adjusted · 15 markets
- 4 markets removed · resolved markets paid out and left · 21 markets
- Basket created · 25 markets
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