Trends

Back

US Crypto Regulation Policy theme image

US Crypto Regulatory Direction

7 markets curated fromRebalanced 12d ago

Performance is chain-linked across 8 basket versions to preserve a continuous price history.

How a Basket Is Managed

Curated
Qualified Polymarket events are included to reflect the direction of the trend.
Weighted
Curated events get weights based on liquidity, correlation and factor representation.
Monitored
Basket members and other relevant markets are monitored continuously for needed adjustments.
Rebalanced
The basket automatically adds, removes, or reweights events over time to best track the topic.
As of 2026-10-26

Factors

Legislation

Whether Congress advances market-structure bills clarifying crypto regulation.

Holds No 2 markets
66.5%Weight
Federal Adoption

Whether federal agencies and institutions adopt crypto and blockchain themselves.

Holds No 2 markets
12.3%Weight
Tax Treatment

Whether US tax policy becomes more favorable to holding and trading crypto.

Holds No 1 market
4.0%Weight
Enforcement Risk

Whether federal enforcement actions escalate against crypto firms and figures.

Holds Yes 2 markets
17.3%Weight

Change History

Every change to this basket is dated. Past compositions are read-only — they stay readable and are never buyable.

  1. 1 market removed · weights adjusted · 7 markets
  2. weights adjusted · 8 markets
  3. 1 market removed · resolved markets paid out and left · 8 markets
  4. 1 market added · weights adjusted · 9 markets
  5. 1 market removed · resolved markets paid out and left · 8 markets
  6. 1 market added · 1 market removed · weights adjusted · 9 markets
  7. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 10 markets