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US Congress Party Control theme image

US Congress Party Control

15 markets curated fromRebalanced 17d ago

Performance is chain-linked across 3 basket versions to preserve a continuous price history.

How a Basket Is Managed

Curated
Qualified Polymarket events are included to reflect the direction of the Trend.
Weighted
Curated events get weights based on liquidity, correlation and Factor representation.
Monitored
Basket members and other relevant markets are monitored continuously for needed adjustments.
Rebalanced
The Basket automatically adds, removes, or reweights events over time to best track the topic.
As of 2026-09-12

Factors

House Control

Democratic chances of flipping the House and the GOP's grip on its majority.

Holds Yes 7 markets
26.1%weight
Senate Control

Which party emerges with control of the Senate after the midterms.

Holds No 1 market
16.6%weight
Balance of Power

Joint House–Senate outcomes, from a Republican sweep to a Democratic one or a split.

Holds No 2 markets
21.8%weight
National Vote Margin

The national House vote margin — whether the country leans Republican or Democratic.

Holds No 3 markets
8.6%weight
Democratic Joint Control

Democratic paths to unified control — winning both chambers, or taking the Senate alone.

Holds Yes 2 markets
26.9%weight

Change History

Every change to this Basket is dated. Past compositions are read-only — they stay readable and are never buyable.

  1. 1 market added · 1 market removed · 1 market changed side · 1 market moved to a different Factor · weights adjusted · 15 markets
  2. 6 markets added · 4 markets removed · Factors changed · weights adjusted · 15 markets
  3. Basket created · 13 markets