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US Congress Party Control theme image

US Congress Party Control

4 markets curated fromRebalanced 3d ago

Performance is chain-linked across 14 basket versions to preserve a continuous price history.

How a Basket Is Managed

Curated
Qualified Polymarket events are included to reflect the direction of the trend.
Weighted
Curated events get weights based on liquidity, correlation and factor representation.
Monitored
Basket members and other relevant markets are monitored continuously for needed adjustments.
Rebalanced
The basket automatically adds, removes, or reweights events over time to best track the topic.
As of 2026-10-27

Factors

House Control

Democratic chances of flipping the House and the GOP's grip on its majority.

Holds No 1 market
36.8%Weight
Senate Control

Which party emerges with control of the Senate after the midterms.

Holds Yes 1 market
30.5%Weight
Balance of Power

Joint House–Senate outcomes, from a Republican sweep to a Democratic one or a split.

Holds Yes 2 markets
32.7%Weight

Change History

Every change to this basket is dated. Past compositions are read-only — they stay readable and are never buyable.

  1. 1 market added · weights adjusted · 4 markets
  2. Daily change · 4 markets removed · weights adjusted · 3 markets
  3. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 3 markets
  4. Daily change · No net membership change · weights adjusted · 7 markets
  5. 1 market moved to a different Factor · weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 7 markets
  6. Daily change · 2 markets removed · Factors changed · weights adjusted · 7 markets
  7. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 7 markets
  8. Daily change · 4 markets removed · weights adjusted · 9 markets
  9. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 9 markets
  10. Daily change · 3 markets added · 5 markets removed · Factors changed · weights adjusted · 13 markets
  11. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 13 markets
  12. Daily change · 3 markets added · 1 market removed · 1 market changed side · 1 market moved to a different Factor · weights adjusted · 15 markets

Showing the 12 most recent of 14 changes. The full record is in the Updates tab.