Trends

Back

US-China AI Competition theme image

US-China AI Competition

20 markets curated fromRebalanced 5h ago

Performance is chain-linked across 3 basket versions to preserve a continuous price history.

How a Basket Is Managed

Curated
Qualified Polymarket events are included to reflect the direction of the Trend.
Weighted
Curated events get weights based on liquidity, correlation and Factor representation.
Monitored
Basket members and other relevant markets are monitored continuously for needed adjustments.
Rebalanced
The Basket automatically adds, removes, or reweights events over time to best track the topic.
As of 2026-09-12

Factors

US Controls on Chinese AI

US export-control laws and actions curbing Chinese AI's advance.

Holds No 2 markets
11.1%weight
China AI Catch-up

Chinese labs' progress on frontier models and chip milestones.

Holds Yes 8 markets
29.6%weight
US Frontier AI Capital

Capital flowing into America's leading frontier AI labs.

Holds No 10 markets
59.3%weight

Change History

Every change to this Basket is dated. Past compositions are read-only — they stay readable and are never buyable.

  1. 4 markets added · 8 markets removed · weights adjusted · 20 markets
  2. weights adjusted · 16 markets
  3. Basket created · 16 markets