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US-China AI Competition theme image

US-China AI Competition

13 markets curated fromRebalanced 4h ago

Performance is chain-linked across 26 basket versions to preserve a continuous price history.

How a Basket Is Managed

Curated
Qualified Polymarket events are included to reflect the direction of the trend.
Weighted
Curated events get weights based on liquidity, correlation and factor representation.
Monitored
Basket members and other relevant markets are monitored continuously for needed adjustments.
Rebalanced
The basket automatically adds, removes, or reweights events over time to best track the topic.
As of 2026-10-27

Factors

US Controls on Chinese AI

US export-control laws and actions curbing Chinese AI's advance.

Holds No 3 markets
25.0%Weight
China AI Catch-up

Chinese labs' progress on frontier models and chip milestones.

Holds Yes 2 markets
25.0%Weight
US Frontier AI Capital

Capital flowing into America's leading frontier AI labs.

Holds No 8 markets
50.0%Weight

Change History

Every change to this basket is dated. Past compositions are read-only — they stay readable and are never buyable.

  1. 1 market added · weights adjusted · 13 markets
  2. weights adjusted · 12 markets
  3. 1 market removed · resolved markets paid out and left · 12 markets
  4. Daily change · 1 market added · weights adjusted · 13 markets
  5. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 13 markets
  6. Daily change · 2 markets added · 4 markets removed · weights adjusted · 12 markets
  7. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 12 markets
  8. Daily change · 2 markets added · 2 markets removed · weights adjusted · 14 markets
  9. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 14 markets
  10. Daily change · 2 markets removed · weights adjusted · 14 markets
  11. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 14 markets
  12. Daily change · 1 market added · 2 markets removed · weights adjusted · 16 markets

Showing the 12 most recent of 26 changes. The full record is in the Updates tab.