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Trump Power and Influence

17 markets curated fromRebalanced 2d ago

Performance is chain-linked across 16 basket versions to preserve a continuous price history.

How a Basket Is Managed

Curated
Qualified Polymarket events are included to reflect the direction of the Trend.
Weighted
Curated events get weights based on liquidity, correlation and Factor representation.
Monitored
Basket members and other relevant markets are monitored continuously for needed adjustments.
Rebalanced
The Basket automatically adds, removes, or reweights events over time to best track the topic.
As of 2026-09-12

Factors

Public Standing

Approval floors signaling how low public standing can go.

Holds No 1 market
3.7%weight
Party Control & Succession

Control of Congress and the party's next standard-bearer.

Holds Yes 5 markets
41.1%weight
Tenure & Removal Risk

Removal pathways — resignation, impeachment, the 25th Amendment.

Holds No 5 markets
22.6%weight
Executive Agenda

Whether his signature agenda items become law or take effect.

Holds Yes 4 markets
24.0%weight
Judicial Influence

Vacancies on the bench and the appointments they unlock.

Holds Yes 2 markets
8.7%weight

Change History

Every change to this Basket is dated. Past compositions are read-only — they stay readable and are never buyable.

  1. 7 markets added · 9 markets removed · weights adjusted · 17 markets
  2. 1 market added · 6 markets removed · weights adjusted · 17 markets
  3. 5 markets added · 7 markets removed · weights adjusted · 17 markets
  4. 3 markets added · 6 markets removed · weights adjusted · 14 markets
  5. 8 markets added · 9 markets removed · weights adjusted · 16 markets
  6. 1 market added · 2 markets removed · weights adjusted · 15 markets
  7. 8 markets added · 13 markets removed · weights adjusted · 15 markets
  8. 2 markets added · 4 markets removed · weights adjusted · 17 markets
  9. 16 markets added · 16 markets removed · weights adjusted · 17 markets
  10. 1 market added · 7 markets removed · weights adjusted · 17 markets
  11. 12 markets added · 12 markets removed · weights adjusted · 17 markets
  12. 5 markets added · 10 markets removed · weights adjusted · 16 markets

Showing the 12 most recent of 15 changes. The full record is in the Updates tab.