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Donald Trump Power and Influence

9 markets curated fromRebalanced 1d ago

Performance is chain-linked across 33 basket versions to preserve a continuous price history.

How a Basket Is Managed

Curated
Qualified Polymarket events are included to reflect the direction of the trend.
Weighted
Curated events get weights based on liquidity, correlation and factor representation.
Monitored
Basket members and other relevant markets are monitored continuously for needed adjustments.
Rebalanced
The basket automatically adds, removes, or reweights events over time to best track the topic.
As of 2026-10-27

Factors

Public Standing

How his approval rating holds up with voters as the term unfolds.

Holds No 1 market
5.0%Weight
Party Control & Succession

His grip on the party — control of Congress, succession, and the next nomination.

Holds Yes 3 markets
61.4%Weight
Tenure & Removal Risk

Whether he stays in office — removal, resignation, or impeachment risk.

Holds No 2 markets
16.1%Weight
Executive Agenda

How much of his executive agenda he can actually get done.

Holds Yes 3 markets
17.4%Weight

Change History

Every change to this basket is dated. Past compositions are read-only — they stay readable and are never buyable.

  1. 1 market removed · weights adjusted · 9 markets
  2. 1 market removed · weights adjusted · 10 markets
  3. weights adjusted · 11 markets
  4. 1 market removed · weights adjusted · 11 markets
  5. Daily change · 1 market removed · 1 market moved to a different Factor · weights adjusted · 12 markets
  6. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 12 markets
  7. Daily change · No net membership change · weights adjusted · 13 markets
  8. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 13 markets
  9. Daily change · 1 market removed · weights adjusted · 13 markets
  10. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 13 markets
  11. Daily change · 2 markets removed · weights adjusted · 14 markets
  12. weights adjusted · Membership not separately itemized · 14 markets

Showing the 12 most recent of 32 changes. The full record is in the Updates tab.